Good Trump and bad Trump

Trump is Now the Enemy of Business

Please excuse the absence of The Dismal Optimist over the last few months. I have been on my back “meditating” while recovering from a full knee replacement. I don’t recommend the latter. I confess to having voted for Trump in 2016. Year one of Trump brought all kinds of business-friendly measures including a tax cut, […]

The Black Swan is Here – is it Trump?

The black swan theory is a metaphor that describes an event that comes as a surprise, has a major effect, and is often inappropriately rationalized after the fact with the benefit of hindsight. Old metaphor popularized by Nassim Nicholas Taleb For 10 months, China has been paying Tariffs to the USA of 25% on 50 Billion Dollars […]

There's No Stopping Globalization

The tide of globalization is going out. Peter Thiel, German-born co-founder of PayPal and advisor to President Trump The speed of light does not merely transform the world. It becomes the world. Globalization is the speed of light. Paul Virilio, French intellectual The evolutionary process of technology seeks to improve capabilities in an exponential fashion. […]

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